AA 2242 · DFW → GSO

departs 1:56 PM CT · arrives 5:34 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±6 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GSO?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at GSO that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GSO (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2242 · DFW → GSO

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSO?