AA 2269 · DFW → OMA

departs 1:53 PM CT · arrives 3:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±5 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OMA?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OMA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2269 · DFW → OMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to OMA?