Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2283SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2283 · SNA → PHX
departs 12:51 PM PT · arrives 2:21 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
33%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.