AA 2288 · DFW → ORF

departs 2:14 PM CT · arrives 6:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORF?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,417 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2288 · DFW → ORF

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORF?