tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2420 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2420 · PHX → SJD

departs 8:41 AM MT · arrives 10:59 AM MST
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Arrive at SJD more than 15 minutes late?
17% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SJD?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.