AA 2588 · CUN → AUS

departs 11:38 AM EST · arrives 2:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CUN

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUS that day

Weather at each end

CUN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2588 · CUN → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?