AA 2625 · MTY → DFW

took off 4:36 PM CST · landed 6:54 PM CT (scheduled 4:26 PM CST → 7:24 PM CT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ MTY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MTY (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DFW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2625 · MTY → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?