AA 2742 · DFW → MCI

departs 12:07 PM CT · arrives 1:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±5 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are usually not late

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

MCI (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2742 · DFW → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?