AA 3225 · BOS → LGA

took off 6:32 PM ET · landed 7:09 PM ET (scheduled 6:01 PM ET → 7:22 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3225 · BOS → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?