tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 953 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 953 · JFK → EZE

departs 11:16 PM ET · arrives 10:48 AM -03
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Arrive at EZE more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 7.0d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EZE?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.