Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 525 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

AC 525 · YUL → ORD

departs 6:30 PM EDT · arrives 7:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±4 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ AC's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

YUL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 525 · YUL → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?