AC 554 · YVR → LAX

departs 1:36 PM PDT · arrives 4:33 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ AC's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 554 · YVR → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?