Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 585 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AC 585 · EWR → YYC

departs 2:25 PM ET · arrives 5:50 PM MDT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYC?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYC

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ YYC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 585 · EWR → YYC

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYC?