Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 599 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AC 599 · SNA → YVR

departs 1:15 PM PT · arrives 4:34 PM PDT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YVR?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↓ Arrivals into YVR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

YVR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 599 · SNA → YVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to YVR?