Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 7041 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AC 7041 · YUL → MDW

departs 2:55 PM EDT · arrives 4:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YUL

Weather at each end

YUL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 7041 · YUL → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?