Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 7304 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AC 7304 · YYZ → ATL

departs 10:15 AM EDT · arrives 12:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 7304 · YYZ → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?