Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 7313 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AC 7313 · ORD → YVR

departs 1:36 PM CT · arrives 3:58 PM PDT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YVR?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Arrivals into YVR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YVR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 7313 · ORD → YVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to YVR?