Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 791 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AC 791 · YYZ → LAX

departs 1:15 PM EDT · arrives 3:55 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 791 · YYZ → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?