Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR FRANCE · FLIGHT AF 97 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AF 97 · MCO → CDG

departs 10:49 PM ET · arrives 12:11 PM CET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 67h before departure

Arrive at CDG more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CDG?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ AF's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

CDG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AF 97 · MCO → CDG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CDG?