Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR INDIA · FLIGHT AI 184 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AI 184 · SFO → CCU

departs 6:45 PM PT · arrives 11:00 PM IST

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at CCU more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±4 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CCU?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CCU

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CCU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AI 184 · SFO → CCU

Odds over time

How late will it get to CCU?