AM 1689 · DFW → MEX

departs 2:38 PM CT · arrives 4:22 PM CST

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEX?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEX

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

MEX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AM 1689 · DFW → MEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEX?