Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 1740SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AM 1740 · MEX → TPA
departs 3:10 PM CST · arrives 8:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
25%chance · ±3 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.