Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 403SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AM 403 · JFK → MEX
departs 6:43 PM ET · arrives 9:30 PM CST
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
21%chance · ±4 pts−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MEX?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.