Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 409SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AM 409 · JFK → MEX
departs 4:30 PM ET · arrives 7:07 PM CST
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±4 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MEX?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.