tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 436 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AM 436 · MEX → MCO

departs 2:00 PM CST · arrives 7:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±4 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    64%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.