Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 494SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AM 494 · MEX → SEA
departs 3:00 PM CST · arrives 7:16 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
17%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.