tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 495 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AM 495 · SEA → MEX

departs 9:41 AM PT · arrives 4:08 PM CST
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
14% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MEX?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.