Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 615SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AM 615 · PHX → MEX
departs 12:49 PM MT · arrives 5:05 PM CST
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±2 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MEX?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.