Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1031 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

AS 1031 · ITO → HNL

departs 11:27 AM HT · arrives 12:22 PM HT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ ITO usually runs smoothly

↓ 11am departures from ITO are usually not late

Weather at each end

ITO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.23 in

HNL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,467 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1031 · ITO → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?