Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1094 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

AS 1094 · LIH → HNL

departs 1:26 PM HT · arrives 2:19 PM HT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at HNL that day

↓ LIH usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at LIH that day

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,467 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1094 · LIH → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?