Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1361 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

AS 1361 · PDX → BOI

departs 5:57 PM PT · arrives 8:18 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOI?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from PDX are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

BOI (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1361 · PDX → BOI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOI?