Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1401SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1401 · SEA → SAN
departs 7:02 AM PT · arrives 10:00 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.