tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 245 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 245 · SEA → OGG

departs 8:05 AM PT · arrives 11:19 AM HT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to OGG?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    22%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.