Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 355 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

AS 355 · SEA → GEG

departs 1:49 PM PT · arrives 2:58 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GEG?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

GEG (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 355 · SEA → GEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to GEG?