Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 7025 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

AS 7025 · ANC → OTZ

departs 2:08 PM AKT · arrives 3:56 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at OTZ more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±5 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OTZ?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 367 ft, visibility down to 0.1 mi forecast at OTZ that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Gusts to 37 kt forecast at ANC that day

↓ Arrivals into OTZ at that hour are usually not late

↓ OTZ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.07 in

OTZ (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling367 ft Visibility0.1 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7025 · ANC → OTZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to OTZ?