AS 7097 · SEA → ANC

took off 12:14 AM PT · expected to land 2:16 AM AKT (scheduled 12:39 AM PT → 3:09 AM AKT)

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ANC?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 35 kt forecast at ANC that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into ANC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

ANC (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7097 · SEA → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?