Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 70 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

AS 70 · ANC → JNU

departs 7:39 PM AKT · arrives 9:20 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JNU?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0 mi forecast at ANC that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ 7pm departures from ANC are usually not late

↓ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility0 mi Precip0.07 in

JNU (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 70 · ANC → JNU

Odds over time

How late will it get to JNU?