tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 831 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AS 831 · HNL → HND

departs 4:06 PM HT · arrives 7:37 PM JST
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Arrive at HND more than 15 minutes late?
24% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.9d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to HND?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.