Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 901 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

AS 901 · LIH → PDX

departs 12:18 PM HT · arrives 9:04 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ LIH usually runs smoothly

↓ 12pm departures from LIH are usually not late

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 901 · LIH → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?