tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 211 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AV 211 · JFK → BOG

departs 3:44 PM ET · arrives 8:06 PM -05
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±6 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOG?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.