tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 263 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AV 263 · ORD → BOG

departs 11:24 PM CT · arrives 5:16 AM -05
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 7.0d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOG?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.