Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

FINNAIR · FLIGHT AY 2 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AY 2 · LAX → HEL

departs 7:10 PM PT · arrives 2:51 PM EET

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at HEL more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HEL?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 7pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HEL

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

HEL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AY 2 · LAX → HEL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HEL?