Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1043
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1043 · ROC → MCO
departs 3:42 PM ET · arrives 6:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 28%
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 39%
Mon 11/2 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ROC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at MCO that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ROC
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ROC (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.