Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1146
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
B6 1146 · FLL → RIC
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 11:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Wed 10/28 22%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 43%
Sat 10/31 28%
Sun 11/1 37%
Mon 11/2 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RIC (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.