Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1202
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1202 · JFK → BUF
departs 5:35 PM ET · arrives 7:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 46%
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 45%
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.