Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1251
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1251 · HPN → RSW
departs 12:57 PM ET · arrives 4:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 19%
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
HPN is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into RSW at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HPN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.