Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1274
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
B6 1274 · CHS → JFK
departs 8:37 PM ET · arrives 10:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 52%
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 48%
Mon 11/2 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS
Weather at each end
CHS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.