Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1303
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1303 · BOS → PHX
departs 8:32 PM ET · arrives 11:14 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 50%
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 38%
Mon 11/2 37%
Tue 11/3 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.