Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 130
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 130 · MCO → BQN
departs 5:03 PM ET · arrives 7:57 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 37%
Sat 10/31 31%
Sun 11/1 38%
Mon 11/2 35%
Tue 11/3 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at BQN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BQN?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at MCO that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.16 in
BQN (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 2,600 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.