Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1498
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1498 · DEN → JFK
departs 3:16 PM MT · arrives 9:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 33%
Sat 10/31 37%
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.